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The Secret To Avoiding Impulse Trades
Archived Issue

Weekend Newsletter
February 07, 2009

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      In This Edition:


      Avoiding Impulse Trades


            
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  • Avoiding Impulse Trades -- By: Bill Kraft
    Copyright 2009, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
    Bill Kraft
    Bill Kraft
    Editor

    Last weekend, the Newsletter article began with the following paragraph:

    "When we trade we need to make many decisions. What stock will I choose? What strategy will I use? When will I enter? Am I bullish or bearish? What is my exit strategy? Will I set a stop to buy? Will I set a stop loss once I have entered? What reward to risk do I seek to attain with the trade? Will I bother to create a trading plan? These are just a few of the decisions we must make as traders."

    I then went on to explain how important I believe it is to make decisions and how difficult it is for so many to make those decisions themselves. Somehow, at least one subscriber interpreted the article to suggest that I was advocating making trades on impulse. Exactly the opposite is true and I thought I better write this weekend's article to clarify my thoughts just in case any other subscribers may have reached the same mistaken conclusions.

    Each of the elements in the quoted paragraph require a decision. We specifically should decide what stock we choose, if any. Part of that specific decision will be based upon whether we are bullish or bearish. If we are bearish, for example, we may just decide to stay in cash or choose an ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) or option strategy to play the downside. We then would want to decide on an entry point and an exit strategy. After all, the trade is not over until the exit and that exit strategy, in my view, needs to incorporate both a way to cut losses and a way to let profits run. These are decisions that should be made in advance of entry into any trade. We may then decide to implement the decision using a stop loss order or a trailing stop loss or an alert that is sent us once a specific price is reached. Deciding on a specific minimum reward to risk ratio before ever making a trade can make the difference between being a winner overall or a loser.

    Anyone who has read my book, "Trade Your Way to Wealth" , has seen that my philosophy is definitely NOT to trade on impulse, but rather to create a plan that is specific to each individual trader or investor. In the book, I set out elements I believe should be incorporated into each traders plan and discuss how a trader might decide to implement those specific elements. Trading without a plan is often the equivalent of trading by impulse and sets the trader or investor up for failure. So there is no mistake and in order to be crystal clear, I absolutely believe a trading plan is essential. Creation of a plan requires that the investor make decisions and it is that decision making process that I discussed last weekend. The decisions should not be made on impulse, but rather with careful consideration, but they should be made. Again, as I discuss in my book, I believe all trading decisions should be made out of the heat of battle and at a time when emotions are not ruling the decision making process. Only in that way, I would suggest, can we avoid making trades on impulse.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft


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    Here is a play from the Success Trading Group:

    Alcoa, Inc. (AA)
    Our Success Trading Group members scored two more winning trades this week including a trade on Alcoa (Ticker: AA). We have many of our "old favorites" on our radar and look forward to trading next week.

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    The Option Trader service utilizes standard trading in Puts and Calls as well as strategies using Leaps, Straddles, Credit Spreads, Calendar Spreads, and Naked Puts. But no matter how sophisticated a strategy may be, we ALWAYS know our downside potential on every trade.

    Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:

    NetApp, Inc. (NTAP)
    I'm looking at the Jan 2011 $12.50 LEAPS calls on a retracement to the uptrend line that began in November. It looks like they may be available somewhere around $6 if the stock does dip back near $14. I am waiting for a dip followed by a turn back up before deciding.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft


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  • Trend Trader -- by Bill Kraft

    Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.

    Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:

    Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD)
    Steel Dynamics has been trading in a range since December and broke above resistance on Friday on slightly above average volume. MACD turned positive around the beginning of the week. It looks as though this one has a target in the $20 range if it can hold above the resistance it just broke.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft


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  • $10 Trader -- by Bill Kraft

    We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.

    Here's a look at a trade Bill is currently working on:

    Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS)
    $10 Trader had another winner this week with SWKS. The stock is now on a rocket ride and I am awaiting a retracement before considering entry. Ideally, a move back to the new support around $6 with a turn back up might do the trick for me.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft


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    Here is a play from the Dividend Investor Team:

    ConocoPhillips (COP)
    Our Dividend Investor members closed a "trade" position this week for another win. We traded in and out of ConocoPhillips (Ticker: COP) for a quick gain in less than 4 days.

    Have a great weekend and we'll trade next week.
    Dividend Investor Team

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